NCAA Tournament March Madness

#253 Abilene Chr

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Projection: need to automatically qualify

The projection that Abilene Christian must secure the conference’s automatic berth is logical because the résumé contains some solid moments but is defined more by damaging losses and a scarcity of true signature victories away from home. A home win over New Mexico State and road triumphs at Pepperdine and Tarleton State show the squad can beat quality opponents, yet those bright spots are outweighed by heavy defeats at Arizona and BYU and a lopsided neutral loss to William & Mary that will loom large with a committee. Road play has been inconsistent and a home defeat to Cal Baptist further dulls the resume, so even if the Wildcats collect the more winnable dates on the slate at Utah Tech and Southern Utah, the upcoming trip to Utah Valley and visits to Cal Baptist and UT Arlington make an at-large case precarious. Given how much committees prize road and neutral-site wins against notable opponents, the simplest path for this group to reach the field is through the automatic berth.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/6NE Omaha256W73-71
11/14@SF Austin99L76-66
11/18@Texas St282L63-49
11/24(N)UT San Antonio348W61-50
11/25(N)William & Mary130L92-58
12/2@Pepperdine273W71-63
12/6New Mexico St158W77-69
12/16@Arizona1L96-62
12/19@BYU15L85-67
12/22@TX Southern311W75-68
1/1Utah Tech215L79-64
1/3Utah Valley106W85-68
1/8@Tarleton St182W84-80
1/10@UT Arlington143L82-72
1/15Cal Baptist133L74-58
1/17@Southern Utah278L74-52
1/26@Tarleton St18226%
1/29Utah Tech21553%
1/31Southern Utah27867%
2/5@Utah Valley10612%
2/7@Cal Baptist13317%
2/12UT Arlington14338%
2/14Tarleton St18247%
2/21Southern Utah27867%
2/26@Utah Tech21531%
2/28@Utah Valley10612%
3/5@Cal Baptist13317%
3/7UT Arlington14338%